
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 2nd Edition
Author(s): Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author)
- Publisher: Penguin
- Publication Date: 28 Feb. 2010
- Edition: 2nd
- Language: English
- Print length: 394 pages
- ISBN-10: 0141034599
- ISBN-13: 9780141034591
Book Description
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday
‘He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Wow! eBook


